Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück v Eintracht Braunschweig

Inicio: 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

Final: VfL Osnabrück 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.88%42.35%42.46%43.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3148.78%45.55%45.45%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visitante)

Predicción 31.08%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%31.24%31.00%33.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.903.1436.36%34.17%34.48%31.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.716%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.260%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%26.42%26.54%27.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.503.7530.77%28.81%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 42.44%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visitante): 31.08%; Empate: 26.48%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.78. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -0.716%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.12%EV -1.96%E -0.847%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -7.69%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.91%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.81%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.81%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.63%EV -5.51%E -1.81%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV -4.16%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-06 10:39
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -2.38%E -1.04%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -0.716%E -0.191%K -0.260%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -3.23%E -1.42%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 10:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -4.50%E -2.00%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.19%EV -4.93%E -2.20%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.81%EV -2.40%E -0.766%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.00%EV -1.51%E -0.406%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.82%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.01%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.23%EV -6.20%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 10:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.65%E -1.18%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:39
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -5.20%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 10:28
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.31%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.63%E -3.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -12.97%E -4.63%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.31%E -3.38%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.47%E -3.43%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.24%EV -6.54%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.32%E -3.85%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.53%E -5.28%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:03
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 11:03
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.76%E -2.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.31%E -2.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.09%EV -9.24%E -3.16%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:00
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.80%E -3.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.75%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.80%E -3.76%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.98%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.42%E -4.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.66%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.87%E -5.18%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.49%E -3.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -12.14%E -5.87%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -13.90%E -5.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.95%E -4.29%K -6.20%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.99%E -6.34%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.86%E -3.40%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -12.63%E -3.83%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-09-06 11:20
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.25%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.9%2026-09-06 10:35