Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum v VfL Osnabrück

Kickoff: 2026-08-28 16:30 UTC

Final: VfL Bochum 0–1 VfL Osnabrück

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prediction 50.73%1.97fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.88%50.78%50.71%53.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.821.9159.52%55.33%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Visit)

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.13%24.02%24.09%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.904.2528.57%25.72%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.22%3.96fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%25.20%25.20%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.703.8629.41%27.28%27.03%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Bochum (Local): 50.73%; VfL Osnabrück (Visit): 24.04%; Draw: 25.22%. For VfL Osnabrück (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV +2.18%E +0.512%K +0.670%G +0.015%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 16:05
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -4.62%E -2.46%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -2.39%E -0.589%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -3.61%E -1.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.10%EV -3.59%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.04%EV -2.63%E -0.682%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -6.14%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.89%E -0.750%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.60%EV -12.74%E -7.41%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -7.93%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 16:05
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -13.24%E -7.75%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.56%EV -13.24%E -7.75%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -3.83%E -0.958%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -4.55%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 15:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.54%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.04%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -14.77%E -8.79%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -5.04%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -14.77%E -8.79%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -5.04%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.67%EV -14.77%E -8.79%K -21.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -5.04%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 16:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -4.62%E -2.46%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.40%EV -7.66%E -4.21%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 16:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.24%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -8.17%E -4.51%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -6.72%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 16:20
Suprabets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -6.65%E -3.61%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.13%EV -6.96%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -6.17%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 16:20
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.66%E -4.21%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.18%EV -7.66%E -4.21%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.44%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -3.10%E -1.62%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.63%E -3.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 16:20
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.39%EV -7.66%E -4.21%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 16:25
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:15
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 16:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -10.20%E -5.76%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.64%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-28 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.14%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -6.14%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.68%E -4.82%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.84%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -5.13%E -2.74%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.14%E -3.32%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.05%E -2.99%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -9.69%E -5.45%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.45%E -2.94%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -11.22%E -6.41%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -12.23%E -7.07%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -13.45%E -3.74%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-28 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 15:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 15:40
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.16%E -3.91%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.85%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.06%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.97%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.97%0.0%2026-08-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.6%2026-08-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-08-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-08-28 16:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-28 16:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.5%2026-08-28 16:25