Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Bochum v Greuther Fürth

Início: 2026-09-12 11:00 UTC

Final: VfL Bochum 1–1 Greuther Fürth

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Previsão 49.87%2.01odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.631%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.88%49.71%50.02%51.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.871.871.9857.80%53.36%53.48%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Greuther Fürth (Visitante)

Previsão 25.25%3.96odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.328%
Kelly -0.441%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.19%25.38%25.13%28.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.543.553.9131.75%28.24%28.17%25.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.88%4.02odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -0.763%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.99%24.91%24.85%25.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.473.703.703.9028.82%27.04%27.03%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: VfL Bochum (Local): 49.87%; Greuther Fürth (Visitante): 25.25%; Empate: 24.88%. Para VfL Bochum (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.25%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -1.25%E -0.631%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -3.74%E -1.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -3.74%E -1.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -9.19%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 12:36
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:36
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 15:54
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.90%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 12:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.90%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.03%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 12:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -2.04%E -0.526%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -3.47%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -2.04%E -0.526%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -3.47%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -1.54%E -0.394%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.22%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 06:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.06%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 11:04
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 09:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -7.23%E -3.89%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.22%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:40
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.37%EV -7.23%E -3.89%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -1.54%E -0.394%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 21:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:34
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 11:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -8.23%E -4.47%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.47%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 20:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:32
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -9.19%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.16%E -4.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 11:00
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.84%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.48%EV -4.57%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 06:52
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -16.68%E -5.06%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -11.72%E -6.62%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -12.39%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -13.67%E -3.94%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -11.72%E -6.62%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -14.16%E -4.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 06:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.72%E -7.93%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 10:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 13:55
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%5.1%2026-09-09 14:15
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%10.5%2026-09-09 13:40