Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Bochum v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 11:00 UTC

Score final : VfL Bochum 1–1 Greuther Fürth

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 49.87%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.88%49.71%50.02%51.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.871.9857.80%53.36%53.48%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.25%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.328%
Kelly -0.441%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.19%25.38%25.13%28.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.543.553.9131.75%28.24%28.17%25.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.88%4.02cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%24.91%24.85%25.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.473.703.703.9028.82%27.04%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfL Bochum (Local) : 49.87% ; Greuther Fürth (Visiteur) : 25.25% ; Match nul : 24.88%. Pour VfL Bochum (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.98, pour une espérance de -1.25% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -1.25%E -0.631%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -1.75%E -0.887%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -3.74%E -1.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.91%EV -3.74%E -1.94%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -9.19%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 12:36
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:36
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.88%EV -4.24%E -2.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -19.21%E -6.00%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.74%E -2.48%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:04
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 15:54
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.24%E -2.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.90%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 12:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.90%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.14%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-09 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.03%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -20.47%E -6.50%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 12:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -2.04%E -0.526%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -3.47%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -2.04%E -0.526%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -3.47%E -0.895%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.89%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -1.54%E -0.394%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -4.22%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 06:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.06%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 11:04
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.97%E -0.763%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.11%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 09:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -6.73%E -3.60%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -7.23%E -3.89%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.35%EV -1.28%E -0.328%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.22%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 16:40
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.37%EV -7.23%E -3.89%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -1.54%E -0.394%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 21:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:34
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 11:04
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.97%EV -7.73%E -4.18%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.37%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -8.23%E -4.47%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.46%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -8.23%E -4.47%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -15.42%E -4.60%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 20:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 12:32
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.95%E -2.15%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.32%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -9.19%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:50
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.73%E -4.77%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.16%E -4.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-09 11:00
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.84%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.48%EV -4.57%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 06:52
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -9.23%E -5.07%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -16.68%E -5.06%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -11.68%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-06 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.50%EV -11.72%E -6.62%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -12.39%E -3.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.25%EV -13.67%E -3.94%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.35%EV -11.72%E -6.62%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -14.16%E -4.16%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 06:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -13.72%E -7.93%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -11.63%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-09 10:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-09-09 17:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.23%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%3.8%2026-09-09 13:55
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%5.1%2026-09-09 14:15
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 48.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%10.5%2026-09-09 13:40