La scuola delle quote

SV Darmstadt 98 v SC Paderborn

Inizio: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Finale: SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 SC Paderborn

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa)

Previsione 28.31%3.53quota equa
EV +0.507%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.199%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.40%28.19%28.43%29.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.313.303.5533.33%30.25%30.30%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Paderborn (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.39%2.07quota equa
EV -3.70%
Vantaggio -1.86%
Kelly -3.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.20%48.52%48.26%50.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.891.911.9957.14%52.87%52.36%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.30%4.29quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -0.512%
Kelly -0.672%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.44%23.28%23.30%25.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.944.004.2030.30%25.38%25.00%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV +0.507%E +0.143%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV +0.507%E +0.143%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:41
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 09:40
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -2.32%E -0.674%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 22:30
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.05%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.39%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:06
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.35%E -8.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 09:40
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.35%E -8.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:15
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:38
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.38%EV -15.32%E -8.75%K -20.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-13 22:29
Suprabets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.35%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:35
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:09
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:00
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.54%EV -12.41%E -6.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.81%EV -13.86%E -7.79%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.23%EV -11.93%E -6.55%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -23.12%E -7.01%K -10.05%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-17 03:00