L’École des cotes

SV Darmstadt 98 v SC Paderborn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Score final : SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 SC Paderborn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.507%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%28.19%28.43%29.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.313.303.5533.33%30.25%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.39%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.20%48.52%48.26%50.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.891.911.9957.14%52.87%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.30%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -0.512%
Kelly -0.672%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.44%23.28%23.30%25.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.944.004.2030.30%25.38%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV +0.507%E +0.143%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV +0.507%E +0.143%K +0.199%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:05
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:39
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:40
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-14 09:41
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -0.909%E -0.260%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 09:40
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -2.32%E -0.674%K -0.949%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 22:30
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.05%EV -3.46%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -4.67%E -2.37%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.39%EV -4.71%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -3.70%E -1.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.74%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -4.87%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:06
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.35%E -8.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 09:40
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -14.35%E -8.11%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-14 09:40
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -4.19%E -2.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.48%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:15
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:38
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.06%E -4.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -6.57%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.38%EV -15.32%E -8.75%K -20.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-13 22:29
Suprabets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.35%EV -6.85%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:35
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -6.12%E -3.16%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.15%E -0.512%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:39
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:15
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.61%E -3.42%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 08:09
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 07:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.09%E -3.69%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -7.97%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:40
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.85%EV -7.28%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.64%E -2.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.30%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 08:00
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.81%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -9.40%E -2.94%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.51%E -5.09%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -7.57%E -3.97%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 08:06
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.48%E -5.66%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.54%EV -12.41%E -6.86%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.47%E -3.02%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -12.23%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.81%EV -13.86%E -7.79%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -12.63%E -3.37%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 08:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.23%EV -11.93%E -6.55%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -9.14%E -2.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -15.06%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -11.45%E -6.25%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -23.12%E -7.01%K -10.05%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-05-17 03:00