Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Final: SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Hannover 96

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 32.26%3.10fair odd
EV +0.018%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.35%32.23%32.24%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.883.1037.04%34.62%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 42.34%2.36fair odd
EV -0.929%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.693%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.64%42.33%42.22%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.162.192.3450.76%46.37%45.77%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -0.778%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.44%25.54%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.653.8529.41%27.40%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 32.26%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 42.34%; Draw: 25.40%. For SV Darmstadt 98 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.099. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.018%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:00
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -2.56%E -0.849%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.32%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 11:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 11:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.83%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.59%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.59%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 11:00
Suprabets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -6.76%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.28%EV -6.43%E -2.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.53%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:21
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.02%EV -8.13%E -3.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:10
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.84%EV -16.17%E -8.17%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.84%EV -16.17%E -8.17%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -16.59%E -8.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:05
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.64%EV -0.929%E -0.397%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.99%EV -7.04%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.14%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -10.34%E -2.93%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 09:20
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.38%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.38%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 31.98%EV -12.24%E -4.50%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.43%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.89%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-08-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%0.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-30 11:20