Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96

Inicio: 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Final: SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Hannover 96

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Predicción 32.26%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.018%
Ventaja +0.006%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%32.23%32.24%33.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.883.1037.04%34.62%34.72%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 42.34%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.929%
Ventaja -0.397%
Kelly -0.693%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.64%42.33%42.22%45.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.162.192.3450.76%46.37%45.77%42.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.40%3.94momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -0.778%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.44%25.54%26.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.653.8529.41%27.40%27.40%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 32.26%; Hannover 96 (Visitante): 42.34%; Empate: 25.40%. Para SV Darmstadt 98 (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.099. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.100, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.018%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.018%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 11:00
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -1.60%E -0.523%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:05
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -2.56%E -0.849%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.82%EV -4.32%E -1.91%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.14%EV -2.22%E -0.576%K -0.778%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 11:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 11:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -3.21%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.85%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.91%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:10
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 11:00
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -4.82%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.83%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.59%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -6.44%E -2.22%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.59%EV -14.48%E -7.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 11:00
Suprabets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -6.76%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.28%EV -6.43%E -2.91%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.53%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:21
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.02%EV -8.13%E -3.74%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:10
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.11%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.84%EV -16.17%E -8.17%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.83%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.84%EV -16.17%E -8.17%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -7.08%E -2.46%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -16.59%E -8.42%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:05
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.64%EV -0.929%E -0.397%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.99%EV -7.04%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.14%EV -3.05%E -1.33%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.31%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -10.34%E -2.93%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.49%E -0.918%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.97%E -4.17%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 09:20
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 11:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.38%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -6.01%E -2.71%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -12.38%E -3.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 10:40
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.66%E -3.45%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 11:00
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 31.98%EV -12.24%E -4.50%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.43%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.65%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-30 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -12.89%E -4.77%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-08-30 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%0.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.47%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-30 11:25
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-08-30 11:20