La scuola delle quote

SV Darmstadt 98 v FC Schalke 04

Inizio: 2026-03-21 19:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa)

Previsione 37.12%2.69quota equa
EV +0.596%
Vantaggio +0.220%
Kelly +0.348%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.04%37.14%37.08%38.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.482.502.7144.44%40.30%40.00%36.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Schalke 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.81%2.87quota equa
EV -1.85%
Vantaggio -0.655%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.69%34.93%34.83%37.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.632.612.8240.82%38.01%38.31%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.07%3.56quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.296%
Kelly +0.410%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.77%27.93%28.08%29.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.31%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.07%E +0.296%K +0.410%G +0.004%7.8%2026-03-15 17:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -7.76%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -8.46%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -8.46%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:04
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.34%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -1.85%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 19:19
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 19:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 19:24
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 13:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 13:29
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 18:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 18:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.28%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:09
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.04%EV +0.596%E +0.220%K +0.348%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.52%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -6.23%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:05
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:24
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.28%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:13
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:07
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-16 18:04
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-16 18:04
Suprabets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -5.71%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.73%EV -6.37%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 19:24
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.88%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.37%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:24
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:04
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:04
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.76%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:14
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:49
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 19:09
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.64%EV -12.03%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.72%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 19:06
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 19:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:10
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 19:13
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -12.29%E -4.88%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 19:24
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -16.48%E -7.32%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.25%EV -14.73%E -6.01%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.45%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-21 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -19.15%E -6.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 19:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-21 19:24
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-03-21 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-21 19:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-21 19:14
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-03-21 19:10