La escuela de los momios

SV Darmstadt 98 v FC Schalke 04

Inicio: 2026-03-21 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Predicción 37.12%2.69momio equitativo
EV +0.596%
Ventaja +0.220%
Kelly +0.348%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.04%37.14%37.08%38.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.502.7144.44%40.30%40.00%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Schalke 04 (Visitante)

Predicción 34.81%2.87momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.655%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.69%34.93%34.83%37.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.612.8240.82%38.01%38.31%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.07%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.296%
Kelly +0.410%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.93%28.08%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.6034.72%30.31%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +1.07%E +0.296%K +0.410%G +0.004%7.8%2026-03-15 17:35
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -7.76%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:55
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -8.46%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:05
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -8.46%E -3.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.74%E -0.497%K -0.696%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 18:04
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:04
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -3.14%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 18:05
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.34%EV -3.86%E -1.49%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -1.85%E -0.655%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -4.27%E -1.25%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 19:19
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 19:09
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 19:24
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 13:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 13:29
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 18:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 18:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.28%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 19:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:09
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:09
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.04%EV +0.596%E +0.220%K +0.348%G +0.002%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.52%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -6.23%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 19:24
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:05
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -6.79%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.54%E -0.909%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:04
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 19:24
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.28%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 19:13
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:07
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.02%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 19:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-16 18:04
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-16 18:04
Suprabets2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -5.71%E -2.25%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.73%EV -6.37%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 19:24
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.88%EV -6.09%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.68%EV -6.37%E -2.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 19:24
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:04
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.20%EV -7.94%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.42%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 19:04
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.76%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 19:14
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:50
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:49
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:49
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 18:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 19:14
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.15%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -10.16%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-21 19:09
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.64%EV -12.03%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.05%EV -10.72%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 19:06
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 19:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:04
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 19:10
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-21 19:13
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.00%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -12.29%E -4.88%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -14.37%E -4.71%K -7.01%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 19:24
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.30%EV -16.48%E -7.32%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.25%EV -14.73%E -6.01%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.45%EV -17.18%E -5.82%K -8.81%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-21 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.99%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.26%EV -12.99%E -5.19%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.74%EV -19.15%E -6.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-21 19:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-03-21 19:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-03-21 19:24
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-03-21 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-21 19:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-21 19:14
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.55%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%4.0%2026-03-21 19:10