Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.43
assuming max odds 7.25
assuming max odds 5.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Paderborn (Local): 67.61%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 14.52%; Draw: 17.88%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +5.25%E +0.724%K +0.840%G +0.044% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.99%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.45%EV +4.23%E +0.589%K +0.685%G +0.029% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-08 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.94%EV -8.73%E -6.47%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.49%EV +1.62%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.57%EV +1.89%E +0.332%K +0.403%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.62%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -1.68%E -0.306%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.37%EV -11.44%E -8.73%K -36.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV +1.62%E +0.231%K +0.270%G +0.004% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +0.107%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.39%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -1.28%E -0.189%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -3.47%E -0.642%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -7.38%E -5.39%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -1.28%E -0.189%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -3.47%E -0.642%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.55%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -2.01%E -0.298%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -2.01%E -0.298%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 15:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.47%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.80%EV -2.01%E -0.298%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.35%EV -7.38%E -5.39%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.98%EV -2.74%E -0.408%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -5.26%E -0.992%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.05%EV -7.38%E -5.39%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -3.46%E -0.521%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.04%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -4.19%E -0.635%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -3.47%E -0.642%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.96%EV -4.67%E -3.32%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -8.83%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.96%EV -4.67%E -3.32%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.51%EV -8.83%E -1.73%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.63%EV -6.03%E -4.34%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 16:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.81%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.01%EV -13.30%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 15:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -12.11%E -9.32%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-08 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -12.11%E -9.32%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -5.64%E -0.868%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.60%E -5.22%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.72%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.04%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -7.09%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 16:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -12.11%E -9.32%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -9.27%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.93%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -11.45%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.94%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.93%EV -6.70%E -4.86%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.14%EV -11.45%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.94%E -1.54%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.88%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -11.45%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.53%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.88%EV -10.08%E -7.58%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.58%EV -11.45%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.53%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.79%EV -10.76%E -8.15%K -33.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.45%EV -11.45%E -1.88%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -15.98%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -6.15%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.55%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -7.04%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.62%E -2.12%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.35%E -3.82%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -12.90%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.76%EV -9.41%E -7.02%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.16%EV -14.35%E -2.43%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.07%EV -11.51%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.12%EV -7.38%E -5.39%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -3.47%E -0.642%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.14%EV -12.11%E -9.32%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -15.80%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.42%EV -3.32%E -2.32%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.46%EV -16.24%E -2.81%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.11%EV -0.787%E -0.142%K -0.173%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.38%EV -9.41%E -7.02%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -16.53%E -2.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.15%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.16%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.16%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 16:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.16%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.33%EV -8.05%E -5.92%K -22.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -20.16%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -14.19%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-08 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.72%EV -9.41%E -7.02%K -27.67%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -21.61%E -4.00%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.63% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.77% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 16:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.95% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.33% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.72% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 16:25 |