L’École des cotes

SC Paderborn v Hertha Berlin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Paderborn (Local)

Prévision 42.23%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.11%42.41%42.22%46.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.142.182.3352.08%46.70%45.87%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hertha Berlin (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.29%3.20cote équitable
EV +3.24%
Avantage +0.983%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%31.20%31.33%32.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.012.983.3037.04%33.24%33.56%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.546%
Kelly -0.748%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.15%26.39%26.45%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.52%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +3.24%E +0.983%K +1.41%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +3.24%E +0.983%K +1.41%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:36
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:36
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:36
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -16.80%E -8.53%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -18.91%E -9.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -1.45%E -0.460%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -18.91%E -9.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -1.45%E -0.460%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 10:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.61%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -1.60%E -0.685%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 12:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 11:58
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 11:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:59
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -11.31%E -5.39%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.58%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -8.11%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 11:58
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -5.82%E -2.61%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -8.33%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 11:56
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 11:58
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.31%E -5.39%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.94%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.56%E -6.85%K -10.28%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 06:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -12.58%E -6.08%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -13.34%E -4.82%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.94%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 11:58
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.42%E -6.55%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 12:00
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.53%EV -17.65%E -9.05%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.72%EV -15.53%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -17.91%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-02-22 12:00