La escuela de los momios

SC Paderborn v Hertha Berlin

Inicio: 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Paderborn (Local)

Predicción 42.23%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.11%42.41%42.22%46.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.142.182.3352.08%46.70%45.87%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hertha Berlin (Visitante)

Predicción 31.29%3.20momio equitativo
EV +3.24%
Ventaja +0.983%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%31.20%31.33%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.012.983.3037.04%33.24%33.56%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.15%26.39%26.45%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.52%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +3.24%E +0.983%K +1.41%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +3.24%E +0.983%K +1.41%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:36
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:36
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -14.69%E -7.27%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:36
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -16.80%E -8.53%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +1.68%E +0.517%K +0.746%G +0.013%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-20 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -18.91%E -9.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -1.45%E -0.460%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -18.91%E -9.85%K -20.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -1.45%E -0.460%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-20 05:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.01%E -0.972%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 10:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -3.71%E -1.63%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV -3.64%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.02%E -0.546%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -5.82%E -2.61%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -4.58%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.54%EV -1.60%E -0.685%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -5.20%E -1.72%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV -3.34%E -0.916%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 12:00
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 11:58
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 11:59
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -6.14%E -2.05%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 12:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 11:59
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -7.93%E -3.64%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -6.77%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.64%E -2.50%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -11.31%E -5.39%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.58%EV -7.08%E -2.38%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.17%EV -8.11%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 11:58
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.71%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 11:59
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -5.82%E -2.61%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -8.02%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.54%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -8.33%E -2.84%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.79%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 11:56
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.67%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 11:58
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.99%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.09%E -3.22%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 11:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.31%E -5.39%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.27%E -3.20%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.61%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:59
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.94%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -15.53%E -7.77%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -9.90%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.56%E -6.85%K -10.28%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 06:25
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.84%E -3.80%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.32%E -2.09%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.20%E -4.28%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.40%E -4.43%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -12.58%E -6.08%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.34%EV -13.34%E -4.82%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -13.94%E -4.29%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-22 11:58
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -13.42%E -6.55%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.96%E -5.08%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-22 12:00
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.53%EV -17.65%E -9.05%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.72%EV -15.53%E -5.75%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -17.91%E -5.78%K -8.53%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.95%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-02-22 12:00