L’École des cotes

SC Paderborn v FC Schalke 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Paderborn (Local)

Prévision 40.41%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.38%40.32%40.45%42.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.262.302.4048.31%44.28%43.48%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.27%3.20cote équitable
EV +0.372%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.168%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.58%31.28%31.35%33.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.952.983.2138.02%33.92%33.56%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.540%
Kelly +0.747%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.21%28.41%28.20%30.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.273.303.6034.48%30.60%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -9.95%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV +1.94%E +0.540%K +0.747%G +0.015%6.0%2026-04-23 16:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.889%E -0.254%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:05
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:58
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:54
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -12.30%E -5.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:08
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:08
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:09
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 01:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 01:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:43
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 11:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 10:55
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -16.34%E -7.90%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 09:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -13.92%E -6.53%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.06%EV -11.82%E -4.19%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-20 01:30
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.73%EV +0.372%E +0.116%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.49%EV -11.37%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.50%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.10%EV -2.75%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -12.78%E -4.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:24
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -12.78%E -4.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:54
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.81%EV -3.69%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:42
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.25%EV -12.30%E -5.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -17.76%E -6.75%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.07%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.23%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -17.88%E -6.17%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%6.1%2026-04-24 00:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%8.1%2026-04-23 20:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 52.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 24.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 22.43%31.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 52.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 24.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 22.43%31.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 41.26%1.44I 69.44%NM 41.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.48%68.3%2026-04-24 03:45