مدرسة الاحتمالات

SC Paderborn v FC Schalke 04

البداية: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

SC Paderborn (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.41%2.47السعر العادل
EV -3.01%
الأفضلية -1.25%
Kelly -2.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.38%40.32%40.45%42.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.072.262.302.4048.31%44.28%43.48%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Schalke 04 (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.27%3.20السعر العادل
EV +0.372%
الأفضلية +0.116%
Kelly +0.168%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.58%31.28%31.35%33.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.952.983.2138.02%33.92%33.56%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.32%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.94%
الأفضلية +0.540%
Kelly +0.747%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.21%28.41%28.20%30.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.273.303.6034.48%30.60%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -9.95%E -3.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV +1.94%E +0.540%K +0.747%G +0.015%6.0%2026-04-23 16:09
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.889%E -0.254%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.31%E -0.668%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:55
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 12:05
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.72%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 18:58
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:54
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 10:54
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.45%EV -11.90%E -5.46%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.34%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 42.56%EV -12.30%E -5.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 11:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 03:40
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.09%E -5.04%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:08
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 19:08
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:09
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 01:30
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.72%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.15%EV -6.82%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 01:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 16:43
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.55%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 19:00
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -15.57%E -5.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 11:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -15.13%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -7.76%E -2.63%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 10:55
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.54%EV -16.34%E -7.90%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.09%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 09:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:00
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.63%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -12.45%E -4.45%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.13%EV -13.92%E -6.53%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.06%EV -11.82%E -4.19%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-20 01:30
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.73%EV +0.372%E +0.116%K +0.168%G +0.001%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.49%EV -11.37%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:00
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.32%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 00:20
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.50%EV -4.22%E -1.78%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.10%EV -2.75%E -0.886%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -12.78%E -4.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:24
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.67%EV -5.03%E -2.14%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -12.78%E -4.15%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.60%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:54
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.01%E -1.25%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.19%E -2.06%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:54
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58%EV -6.24%E -2.69%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.81%EV -3.69%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:42
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.05%E -3.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -3.07%E -0.989%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:45
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.25%EV -12.30%E -5.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 06:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -9.07%E -4.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.83%EV -17.76%E -6.75%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.07%EV -13.11%E -6.10%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.23%EV -10.88%E -3.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -17.88%E -6.17%K -9.41%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 16:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%6.1%2026-04-24 00:15
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%8.1%2026-04-23 20:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 52.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 24.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 22.43%31.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 52.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 24.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 22.43%31.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 41.26%1.44I 69.44%NM 41.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 17.48%68.3%2026-04-24 03:45