StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen v Greuther Fürth

Matchstart: 2026-05-22 18:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 Greuther Fürth

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma)

Prognos 37.73%2.65rättvist odds
EV -0.772%
Fördel -0.293%
Kelly -0.473%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.14%37.50%37.83%38.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.502.502.6344.44%40.07%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Borta)

Prognos 35.79%2.79rättvist odds
EV -4.09%
Fördel -1.53%
Kelly -2.44%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.81%35.98%35.69%38.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.522.502.6843.48%39.75%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.48%3.78rättvist odds
EV -2.54%
Fördel -0.690%
Kelly -0.948%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.67%26.52%26.48%27.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.453.483.6830.30%29.01%28.78%27.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma): 37.73%; Greuther Fürth (Borta): 35.79%; Oavgjort: 26.48%. För Rot-Weiss Essen (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.65. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.63, med väntevärdet -0.772%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -14.83%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:15
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -2.66%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -2.54%E -0.690%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 18:20
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -16.97%E -7.32%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -16.97%E -7.32%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Suprabets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.57%EV -6.05%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 18:18
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -17.69%E -7.69%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.90%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 18:18
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 18:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.67%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.67%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -8.32%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.58%E -4.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 18:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.58%E -4.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.34%E -4.82%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.22%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.