L’École des cotes

Rot-Weiss Essen v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 18:30 UTC

Score final : Rot-Weiss Essen 1–0 Greuther Fürth

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rot-Weiss Essen (Local)

Prévision 37.73%2.65cote équitable
EV -0.772%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.14%37.50%37.83%38.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.502.502.6344.44%40.07%40.00%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.79%2.79cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.81%35.98%35.69%38.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.522.502.6843.48%39.75%40.00%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.48%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -0.948%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.67%26.52%26.48%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.453.483.6830.30%29.01%28.78%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.14%EV -0.772%E -0.293%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -14.83%E -6.23%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:15
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:19
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -13.04%E -5.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -1.90%E -0.732%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -2.66%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.28%EV -2.54%E -0.690%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.79%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 18:20
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -16.97%E -7.32%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -5.68%E -2.27%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -16.97%E -7.32%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Suprabets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.57%EV -6.05%E -2.43%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.16%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 18:18
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -6.43%E -2.59%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -17.69%E -7.69%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.90%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-22 18:18
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 18:20
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.67%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.67%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 18:20
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.56%E -3.09%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.04%EV -8.32%E -3.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.55%EV -6.95%E -2.67%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.41%EV -7.31%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.20%E -4.29%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.58%E -4.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 18:20
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.58%E -4.46%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-22 18:20
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.34%E -4.82%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.22%E -5.75%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.96%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.11%E -6.72%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-22 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.