Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karlsruher SC v VfL Wolfsburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC

Score final : Karlsruher SC 2–5 VfL Wolfsburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prévision 31.43%3.18cote équitable
EV +2.15%
Avantage +0.660%
Kelly +0.954%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.91%31.33%31.41%32.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.992.953.2536.36%33.40%33.90%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.70%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.11%42.89%42.73%45.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.132.152.2851.55%47.05%46.51%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.87%3.87cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -0.986%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%25.77%25.85%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.553.7630.30%28.01%28.17%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karlsruher SC (Local) : 31.43% ; VfL Wolfsburg (Visiteur) : 42.70% ; Match nul : 25.87%. Pour Karlsruher SC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.18. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +2.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV +2.15%E +0.660%K +0.954%G +0.020%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -12.04%E -5.85%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:35
1xBet🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.76%EV +0.260%E +0.082%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -5.82%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:55
Pinnacle🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.25%E -0.725%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -2.65%E -1.16%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.44%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.57%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 10:50
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.65%EV -15.88%E -8.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 10:35
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.57%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -15.88%E -8.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -2.57%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.49%EV -15.88%E -8.06%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.70%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -3.20%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.70%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 10:35
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -6.86%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 10:56
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.36%EV -16.74%E -8.58%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.74%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.36%EV -16.74%E -8.58%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.74%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.49%EV -17.17%E -8.85%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -10.74%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 10:35
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -4.45%E -1.47%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -6.49%E -2.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.93%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 10:37
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.70%EV -5.64%E -2.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.57%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.86%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:40
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.86%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:43
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.86%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 10:45
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 10:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.98%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 10:50
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -7.91%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -2.72%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 10:40
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.74%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.74%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -9.48%E -4.47%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -8.67%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.85%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 10:45
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.06%E -2.76%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.27%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:54
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -2.98%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 10:45
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -6.92%E -3.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 10:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -9.48%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.62%E -4.43%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.43%E -3.66%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.45%E -2.70%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -8.15%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:45
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:45
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.00%E -4.28%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -13.57%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -12.47%E -6.08%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.03%E -3.54%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-29 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%-0.0%2026-08-29 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 10:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-29 10:45
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-08-29 10:55
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30%1.4%2026-08-29 10:55