Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 2.64
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 38.06%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 37.53%; Draw: 24.41%. For VfL Bochum (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -0.929%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-13 16:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 02:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.31%EV -14.44%E -6.33%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.31%EV -14.44%E -6.33%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-13 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.97%EV -6.36%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -2.43%E -0.935%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -3.09%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.33%EV -8.95%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -15.56%E -6.92%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-13 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.16%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.90%EV -0.929%E -0.352%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.16%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.90%EV -0.929%E -0.352%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -4.31%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.08%EV -9.03%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.34%EV -3.56%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.79%E -4.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.79%E -4.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -2.43%E -0.935%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.60%EV -12.94%E -5.58%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.28%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -21.89%E -6.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.58% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.87% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 06:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |