La escuela de los momios

Karlsruher SC v VfL Bochum

Inicio: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Karlsruher SC 1–2 VfL Bochum

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Predicción 38.06%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.398%
Kelly -0.646%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%38.06%38.02%40.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.452.6043.48%40.74%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV -0.929%
Ventaja -0.352%
Kelly -0.567%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.90%37.52%37.52%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.6444.44%41.04%40.82%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.41%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.591%
Kelly -0.787%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%24.42%24.46%26.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.763.804.0031.25%26.59%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:10
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:10
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -1.03%E -0.398%K -0.646%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -10.69%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:09
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 16:09
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 16:09
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 02:35
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.31%EV -14.44%E -6.33%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-13 16:05
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -5.60%E -2.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.31%EV -14.44%E -6.33%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-13 16:05
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.97%EV -6.36%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -2.43%E -0.935%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.15%EV -3.09%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:38
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.69%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 08:10
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.62%EV -11.81%E -5.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.33%EV -8.95%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -15.56%E -6.92%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 16:09
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -7.12%E -2.92%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.43%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.80%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.16%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.90%EV -0.929%E -0.352%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.16%EV -7.89%E -3.26%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.90%EV -0.929%E -0.352%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 10:39
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -4.31%E -1.69%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.06%E -3.29%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.18%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Suprabets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.08%EV -9.03%E -3.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.34%EV -3.56%E -1.38%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:35
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.41%E -3.95%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.79%E -4.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.79%E -4.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -2.43%E -0.935%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.36%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -13.35%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -10.55%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.60%EV -12.94%E -5.58%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.28%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.94%E -4.14%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.13%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -10.91%E -2.99%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -13.69%E -5.95%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.44%EV -21.89%E -6.84%K -9.95%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%0.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.34%0.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.58%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.87%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.60%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40