A Escola das Odds

Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98

Início: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Final: Karlsruher SC 2–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Previsão 36.88%2.71odd justa
EV -0.412%
Vantagem -0.153%
Kelly -0.243%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.56%36.79%36.91%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.552.552.7042.55%39.27%39.22%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante)

Previsão 38.82%2.58odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.92%38.84%38.84%40.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.372.5145.45%42.45%42.28%39.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.30%4.12odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.578%
Kelly -0.769%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.29%24.37%24.25%26.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.723.734.0231.25%26.88%26.85%24.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:45
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 10:44
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.61%EV -2.57%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.11%EV -2.32%E -0.578%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.81%E -0.702%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:00
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:54
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.702%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 11:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 11:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.82%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:07
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 11:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.96%EV -13.44%E -6.03%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -13.74%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.96%EV -13.44%E -6.03%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -13.74%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.18%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.46%EV -7.18%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:03
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:05
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:20
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 11:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -8.53%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -8.53%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -4.02%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.73%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.50%E -5.04%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 11:07
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -22.25%E -6.95%K -10.11%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 11:10
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.88%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.04%EV -13.82%E -6.23%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-03 11:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.99%-0.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 11:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25