L’École des cotes

Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Score final : Karlsruher SC 2–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prévision 36.88%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.412%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.243%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.56%36.79%36.91%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.552.552.7042.55%39.27%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.82%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.92%38.84%38.84%40.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.372.5145.45%42.45%42.28%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.30%4.12cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.578%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.29%24.37%24.25%26.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.723.734.0231.25%26.88%26.85%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -0.412%E -0.153%K -0.243%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -9.94%E -4.29%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:45
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:45
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -2.26%E -0.852%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.31%E -3.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 10:44
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.61%EV -2.57%E -1.02%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.11%EV -2.32%E -0.578%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.81%E -0.702%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:05
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 11:00
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.51%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:54
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.86%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.81%E -0.702%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-03 11:09
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 11:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.82%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 11:07
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 11:25
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.96%EV -13.44%E -6.03%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -13.74%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.96%EV -13.44%E -6.03%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -13.74%E -3.87%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -5.95%E -2.33%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -7.18%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -7.05%E -2.80%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.46%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.46%EV -7.18%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:03
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -4.90%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.45%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 11:05
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:20
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:10
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 11:10
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.84%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 11:01
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -7.79%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 10:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -8.53%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -8.53%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -7.67%E -2.02%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -8.78%E -3.74%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -4.02%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:25
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:01
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:01
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.63%E -3.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.72%E -4.66%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -14.96%E -4.27%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.73%EV -10.37%E -4.27%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.50%E -5.04%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 11:07
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -2.96%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.88%E -2.37%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -11.48%E -4.78%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -14.60%E -6.64%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -22.25%E -6.95%K -10.11%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.98%EV -12.66%E -5.63%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -10.10%E -2.73%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 11:10
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.88%EV -13.32%E -5.67%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.04%EV -13.82%E -6.23%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.08%EV -12.53%E -3.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-03 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.99%-0.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 11:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-05-03 11:25