Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.23
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 43.52%; Greuther Fürth (Visit): 30.91%; Draw: 25.57%. For Greuther Fürth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.07%EV -6.94%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -12.08%E -5.98%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -12.08%E -5.98%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV +0.151%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV +0.151%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.09%E -0.339%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -1.09%E -0.339%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-16 14:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.35%EV -2.95%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -3.36%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.57%E -0.407%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -16.87%E -8.83%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -16.87%E -8.83%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-16 14:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -7.30%E -3.43%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 16:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 17:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-20 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.78%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.03%E -3.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-20 17:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.78%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -13.83%E -6.98%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.29%E -3.93%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.29%E -3.93%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -11.90%E -4.18%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-20 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.74%E -6.69%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -17.31%E -9.11%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.75%EV -16.54%E -6.13%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.55%EV -16.91%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-20 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-20 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37% | 2.4% | 2026-03-20 17:25 |