L’École des cotes

Karlsruher SC v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prévision 43.52%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%43.72%43.53%46.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.082.102.2352.63%48.08%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.91%3.24cote équitable
EV +2.01%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.872%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%30.72%30.89%32.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.053.003.3037.04%32.83%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%25.56%25.58%27.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.583.653.8532.26%27.96%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.07%EV -6.94%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 17:25
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -12.08%E -5.98%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 14:09
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -12.08%E -5.98%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV +2.01%E +0.608%K +0.872%G +0.017%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 17:24
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:10
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:09
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:10
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:10
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:09
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 14:10
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 17:25
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV +0.460%E +0.142%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV +0.151%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 17:25
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV +0.151%E +0.047%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 17:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.09%E -0.339%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 16:40
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -14.26%E -7.24%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -1.09%E -0.339%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-16 14:09
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.35%EV -2.95%E -1.32%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.08%EV -3.87%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.57%EV -3.36%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 17:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.57%E -0.407%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 17:05
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 16:54
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -16.87%E -8.83%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-16 14:10
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -16.87%E -8.83%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-16 14:10
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -5.72%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 17:25
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.78%EV -7.30%E -3.43%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.03%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 17:05
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 17:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 17:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -4.25%E -1.93%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 17:25
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 17:05
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 17:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 16:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-20 17:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 17:24
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 17:25
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 17:25
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-20 17:25
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.08%EV -5.56%E -2.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -6.43%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 17:08
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 17:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -7.73%E -3.65%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -7.89%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 16:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.81%E -2.99%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 16:55
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 17:25
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 17:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 17:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-20 17:05
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.55%EV -10.78%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.03%E -3.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 17:19
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -10.78%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-20 16:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.31%EV -13.83%E -6.98%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 17:20
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.29%E -3.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:24
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -8.60%E -4.10%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -11.29%E -3.93%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 17:25
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.33%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.41%EV -11.90%E -4.18%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -15.63%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-20 17:25
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.52%E -3.00%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-20 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.45%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.74%E -6.69%K -9.88%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-20 17:20
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -17.31%E -9.11%K -19.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.75%EV -16.54%E -6.13%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.55%EV -16.91%E -5.20%K -7.51%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-20 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-20 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-20 17:20
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-03-20 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-03-20 17:25
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.16%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-20 17:20
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%2.4%2026-03-20 17:25