Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC v Dynamo Dresden

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV +0.612%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.00%32.63%32.62%36.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.532.802.753.1039.53%35.72%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV +5.43%
Edge +2.09%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.184%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%40.25%40.53%42.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.302.302.6050.00%43.49%43.48%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.99%3.70fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%27.12%26.86%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.443.6033.33%29.39%29.11%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 32.46%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 40.55%; Draw: 26.99%. For Dynamo Dresden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.86%EV -17.89%E -7.07%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV +5.43%E +2.09%K +3.39%G +0.184%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -7.68%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -1.46%E -0.602%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -1.46%E -0.602%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 11:40
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:25
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:24
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:25
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 08:24
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.27%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.27%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.64%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -14.64%E -5.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -0.037%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -0.037%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.68%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.44%EV -0.037%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.21%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.35%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 12:14
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:10
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:40
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.98%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.17%EV -5.11%E -2.19%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:20
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.63%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.10%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +0.612%E +0.197%K +0.291%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 11:49
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.63%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 11:49
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 11:19
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.82%E -0.783%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:20
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -8.48%E -3.01%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.87%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 11:19
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -17.24%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 08:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -17.24%E -6.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 08:24
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -0.686%E -0.224%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -7.14%E -3.12%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:24
Suprabets🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.03%EV -2.31%E -0.767%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 12:20
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -2.63%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.52%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 12:24
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -2.63%E -0.878%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:19
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.22%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.76%E -3.89%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.17%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 11:19
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.53%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.72%EV -11.40%E -4.17%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 12:03
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:14
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.79%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.62%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -12.82%E -5.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -9.57%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 11:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -12.37%E -4.58%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -14.85%E -7.07%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 12:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -10.75%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -14.85%E -7.07%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -14.97%E -4.75%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-08 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -13.99%E -5.28%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.89%EV -16.87%E -8.23%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -17.67%E -5.79%K -8.62%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-08 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -9.12%E -3.26%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -18.90%E -9.45%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.02%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-08 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-03-08 12:24
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-08 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 12:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-03-08 12:20
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-03-08 12:15
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%2.6%2026-03-08 12:24