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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück

Início: 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC

Final: Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Previsão 53.15%1.88odd justa
EV -4.86%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -6.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.84%53.20%53.10%54.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.731.731.7960.98%57.82%57.80%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfL Osnabrück (Visitante)

Previsão 23.50%4.25odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.307%
Kelly -0.403%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.46%23.48%23.50%24.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.943.954.2027.78%25.39%25.32%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.35%4.28odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.292%
Kelly -0.382%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.47%23.32%23.40%24.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.943.904.2327.03%25.39%25.64%23.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Holstein Kiel (Local): 53.15%; VfL Osnabrück (Visitante): 23.50%; Empate: 23.35%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.23, com valor esperado de -1.23%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.54%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.81%EV -1.70%E -0.404%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-16 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -1.94%E -0.461%K -0.605%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 16:06
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 20:30
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:05
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.63%EV -6.93%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.51%EV -7.07%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.64%E -0.887%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:05
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.40%EV -6.46%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.40%EV -7.07%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:50
Suprabets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -9.75%E -2.54%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 22:43
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 20:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 11:01
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 00:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 22:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -2.46%E -0.594%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.47%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 02:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.90%EV -2.46%E -0.594%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.47%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 02:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-16 15:14
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.51%E -2.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 15:08
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -1.29%E -0.307%K -0.403%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -4.27%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 10:00
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 22:44
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 22:45
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 21:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 21:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -8.05%E -4.66%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -7.77%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-17 07:05
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.69%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.27%E -2.97%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 14:25
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.86%E -3.16%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.44%E -3.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -9.65%E -5.68%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -15.39%E -4.27%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-17 07:00
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -10.18%E -6.02%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.60%E -1.65%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 14:29
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -10.71%E -6.38%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -5.99%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 10:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.61%EV -10.71%E -6.38%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.70%EV -12.33%E -3.31%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.70%EV -12.91%E -3.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 11:03
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.03%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -7.16%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.03%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -7.16%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.13%EV -8.94%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-16 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.72%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -12.44%E -3.32%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.56%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -13.04%E -3.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -13.61%E -3.68%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-18 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -11.77%E -7.09%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.16%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -11.77%E -7.09%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -7.16%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.16%EV -12.84%E -7.83%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -8.34%E -2.14%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -10.11%E -2.63%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-16 10:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-18 12:35
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-18 12:35
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-18 12:35
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-09-17 16:25