Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden

2026-10-25 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Prévision 43.52%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.925%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%43.22%43.53%45.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.122.152.2553.19%47.21%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.56%3.17cote équitable
EV -5.33%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.03%31.75%31.54%33.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.57%34.48%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.34%25.03%24.93%26.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.663.703.8529.41%27.33%27.03%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Holstein Kiel (Local) : 43.52% ; Dynamo Dresden (Visiteur) : 31.56% ; Match nul : 24.92%. Pour Holstein Kiel (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.30. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.25, pour une espérance de -2.08% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -2.08%E -0.925%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.12%EV -3.82%E -1.73%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.87%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.01%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 14:44
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 20:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 20:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 20:04
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.89%EV -4.69%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 13:14
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:55
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:49
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:49
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 13:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 16:26
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.75%EV -8.17%E -3.87%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 17:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 13:49
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 13:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 13:10
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 13:44
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -9.48%E -4.56%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.48%E -4.56%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -9.92%E -4.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -9.92%E -4.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.42%EV -10.35%E -5.02%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -10.79%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-18 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -11.22%E -5.50%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -11.22%E -5.50%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.22%E -4.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-18 13:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -13.83%E -6.99%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.95%EV -10.69%E -3.78%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.81%EV -12.02%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -13.83%E -6.99%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-18 13:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.52%EV -18.18%E -9.67%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.45%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-18 13:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%6.6%2026-10-18 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%6.6%2026-10-18 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 39.48%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%14.1%2026-10-18 20:04
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 43.20%2.76I 36.23%NM 31.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66%16.3%2026-10-18 13:20