Idioma:Español
Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden
Resultado del partido
Holstein Kiel (Local)
Predicción 43.52%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.925%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.42%43.22%43.53%45.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.122.152.2553.19%47.21%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)
Predicción 31.56%3.17momio equitativo
EV -5.33%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.03%31.75%31.54%33.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.57%34.48%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.92%4.01momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.34%25.03%24.93%26.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.703.8529.41%27.33%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Holstein Kiel (Local): 43.52%; Dynamo Dresden (Visitante): 31.56%; Empate: 24.92%. Para Holstein Kiel (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.30. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.25, con un valor esperado de -2.08%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -2.08%E -0.925%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.12%EV -3.82%E -1.73%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.87%EV -5.64%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.01%EV -5.04%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 20:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.94%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.89%EV -4.69%E -2.14%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.43%E -2.99%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.03%E -2.47%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 16:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.75%EV -8.17%E -3.87%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-18 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -5.33%E -1.78%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 13:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 13:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-18 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.61%E -4.10%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.87%EV -9.48%E -4.56%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.48%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -7.79%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -9.48%E -4.56%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-18 12:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -9.92%E -4.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 12:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.45%EV -9.92%E -4.79%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.56%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.42%EV -10.35%E -5.02%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -10.79%E -5.26%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -15.26%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -11.22%E -5.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -11.22%E -5.50%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -11.64%E -4.16%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -11.52%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.96%E -6.48%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.22%E -4.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.28%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -13.83%E -6.99%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 30.95%EV -10.69%E -3.78%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 24.81%EV -12.02%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-18 13:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -13.83%E -6.99%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-10-18 13:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.52%EV -18.18%E -9.67%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -10.06%E -3.53%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.45%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-18 13:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.27% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.48% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06% | 14.1% | 2026-10-18 20:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.20% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 31.14% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.66% | 16.3% | 2026-10-18 13:20 |