Szkoła Kursów

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg

Początek: 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Holstein Kiel (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.74%2.52kurs godziwy
EV -0.662%
Przewaga -0.265%
Kelly -0.441%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.70%39.85%39.73%41.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.342.352.5047.62%42.77%42.55%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

1. FC Nürnberg (Goście)

Prognoza 33.16%3.02kurs godziwy
EV +2.78%
Przewaga +0.898%
Kelly +1.33%
Wzrost +0.037%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.40%33.03%33.11%35.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.502.752.753.1040.00%36.42%36.36%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.11%3.69kurs godziwy
EV -2.41%
Przewaga -0.669%
Kelly -0.926%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.81%27.12%27.16%28.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.413.423.6033.33%29.29%29.20%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +2.78%E +0.898%K +1.33%G +0.037%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 06:29
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.15%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.60%EV +1.46%E +0.476%K +0.707%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.03%EV -0.200%E -0.067%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:28
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -9.01%E -3.93%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -2.85%E -0.974%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 06:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:30
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -9.40%E -4.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 05:50
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 06:28
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.35%EV -6.83%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:10
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.07%EV -4.24%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 06:29
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 06:29
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 20:04
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:19
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.83%E -2.82%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:29
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.83%E -2.82%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 06:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 20:04
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 05:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 05:49
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.02%EV -9.80%E -4.32%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.95%EV -8.64%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:27
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 06:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 20:02
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 06:29
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.37%EV -14.57%E -6.78%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.51%EV -11.47%E -4.30%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 06:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-13 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -16.56%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.34%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-13 20:04
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.13%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 05:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.13%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:20
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -16.56%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-13 20:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-03-14 06:30