مدرسة الاحتمالات

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg

البداية: 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Holstein Kiel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.74%2.52السعر العادل
EV -0.662%
الأفضلية -0.265%
Kelly -0.441%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.70%39.85%39.73%41.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.342.352.5047.62%42.77%42.55%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.16%3.02السعر العادل
EV +2.78%
الأفضلية +0.898%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.037%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.40%33.03%33.11%35.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.752.753.1040.00%36.42%36.36%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.11%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -0.669%
Kelly -0.926%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.81%27.12%27.16%28.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.413.423.6033.33%29.29%29.20%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +2.78%E +0.898%K +1.33%G +0.037%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 06:29
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.15%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.60%EV +1.46%E +0.476%K +0.707%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.03%EV -0.200%E -0.067%K -0.100%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 06:28
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.51%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.14%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 04:34
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -0.532%E -0.177%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.73%EV -9.01%E -3.93%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -2.85%E -0.974%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 06:29
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 06:30
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -9.40%E -4.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.87%EV -3.85%E -1.33%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 05:50
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.51%E -1.93%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 06:28
1xBet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -6.22%E -2.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.35%EV -6.83%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:10
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.07%EV -4.24%E -1.76%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 06:29
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 05:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 06:29
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 20:04
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 05:39
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.16%E -2.56%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 03:19
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.83%E -2.82%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:29
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.83%E -2.82%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 06:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 06:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.41%E -0.669%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 20:04
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 05:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 05:49
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.02%EV -9.80%E -4.32%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -8.82%E -3.21%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.95%EV -8.64%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 06:27
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 06:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 20:02
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.48%E -3.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 06:29
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.37%EV -14.57%E -6.78%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.51%EV -11.47%E -4.30%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-14 06:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -0.662%E -0.265%K -0.441%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -12.14%E -4.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -1.46%E -0.587%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.56%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 05:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.58%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-13 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -16.56%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -12.80%E -4.87%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.34%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-13 20:04
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.13%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 05:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -13.13%E -5.01%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:20
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.12%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 18:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -2.65%E -1.08%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -13.79%E -5.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-13 18:20
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.22%EV -16.56%E -7.88%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.79%EV -17.11%E -6.84%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.99%EV -11.90%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-13 20:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-14 06:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.76%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-03-14 06:30