Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 v SC Paderborn

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 18:32 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 41.70%2.40fair odd
EV +0.074%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.56%41.85%41.49%44.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.172.4050.00%45.56%46.08%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Paderborn (Visit)

Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.602%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%32.27%32.44%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.903.0538.02%34.68%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.92%3.86fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.89%26.07%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.553.8032.26%28.36%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 41.70%; SC Paderborn (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 25.92%. For Hannover 96 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.398. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.074%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV +0.074%E +0.031%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.52%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV +0.074%E +0.031%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.52%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.85%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -1.88%E -0.621%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.73%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 18:29
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:29
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.22%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:30
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:28
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.80%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 18:29
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:28
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:26
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:28
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:27
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.68%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:29
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.68%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.27%EV -2.54%E -0.676%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -5.77%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.06%E -0.818%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:29
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -4.47%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.80%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 18:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -15.76%E -4.85%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 18:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.57%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.57%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 18:31
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -10.77%E -5.03%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -10.77%E -5.03%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -11.60%E -5.47%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.50%E -0.396%K -0.537%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -14.19%E -5.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -14.83%E -5.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-18 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -14.52%E -7.08%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -14.52%E -7.08%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.56%EV -15.77%E -7.81%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -16.60%E -8.30%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.32%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%4.3%2026-04-18 18:30