La escuela de los momios

Hannover 96 v SC Paderborn

Inicio: 2026-04-18 18:32 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 41.70%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.074%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.56%41.85%41.49%44.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.172.4050.00%45.56%46.08%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Paderborn (Visitante)

Predicción 32.38%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.602%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.55%32.27%32.44%33.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.903.0538.02%34.68%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.92%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.537%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.89%26.07%27.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.553.8032.26%28.36%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV +0.074%E +0.031%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.52%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV +0.074%E +0.031%K +0.053%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.52%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.85%EV -1.18%E -0.496%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -1.88%E -0.621%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -7.73%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 18:29
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:29
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 18:29
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.22%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:30
Suprabets2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -5.44%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:28
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.47%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -2.80%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 18:29
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:28
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:26
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:28
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:27
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.68%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:29
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.68%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 18:29
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:31
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:29
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.27%EV -2.54%E -0.676%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 18:28
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 18:29
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 18:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 18:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:30
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -9.52%E -4.39%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.06%EV -5.77%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -3.06%E -0.818%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:29
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -1.23%E -0.404%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -4.47%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -2.80%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 18:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-18 18:29
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -15.76%E -4.85%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-18 18:30
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.57%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.57%E -4.65%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.46%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-18 18:31
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -10.77%E -5.03%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -10.77%E -5.03%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -11.60%E -5.47%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -2.85%E -0.951%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.98%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -1.50%E -0.396%K -0.537%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -14.19%E -5.35%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.44%E -5.92%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -14.83%E -5.64%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.65%E -6.34%K -9.36%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-18 18:29
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -14.52%E -7.08%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 18:30
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -14.52%E -7.08%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -6.09%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 18:30
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.56%EV -15.77%E -7.81%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.55%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -16.60%E -8.30%K -16.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.43%2.3%2026-04-18 18:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.32%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-18 18:30
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.64%4.3%2026-04-18 18:30