Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 v Greuther Fürth

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 70.80%1.41fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -10.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.03%70.63%70.89%72.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.311.311.3684.03%76.05%76.34%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Visit)

Prediction 11.89%8.41fair odd
EV +4.53%
Edge +0.516%
Kelly +0.582%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 8.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.91%12.01%11.85%13.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.527.508.7915.38%13.30%13.33%11.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.31%5.78fair odd
EV -0.452%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.37%17.36%17.26%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.175.105.7523.09%19.33%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 70.80%; Greuther Fürth (Visit): 11.89%; Draw: 17.31%. For Greuther Fürth (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.41. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.16%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 11.00%EV +4.53%E +0.516%K +0.582%G +0.026%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV -0.625%E -0.109%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 12:14
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +4.06%E +0.464%K +0.523%G +0.021%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.452%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.452%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:04
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:03
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:04
Suprabets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.17%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.23%EV -1.29%E -0.156%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:05
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.73%EV -3.67%E -0.453%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:24
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.24%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -3.05%E -0.544%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:25
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -5.65%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:24
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:13
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:24
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 12:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -7.24%E -0.928%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.231%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:04
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 12:18
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -8.43%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:25
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -8.43%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -9.97%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -9.97%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:05
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:05
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.51%E -9.20%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -25.04%E -5.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 12:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.05%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -13.78%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 69.96%EV -12.21%E -9.85%K -50.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -13.78%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.07%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-08 12:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.12%EV -11.51%E -9.20%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.35%EV -15.57%E -2.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:24
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:30
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:30
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.53%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.05%E -0.544%K -0.663%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 12:25
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 12:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 70.26%EV -15.75%E -13.24%K -82.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.94%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.79%EV -18.63%E -3.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-08 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -19.73%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -15.17%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -19.73%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -15.17%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.09%E -7.95%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -22.70%E -3.49%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 12:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:14
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.34%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.69%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%1.6%2026-03-08 12:19
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.17%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.26%4.1%2026-03-08 12:20