L’École des cotes

Hannover 96 v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 70.80%1.41cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -10.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.03%70.63%70.89%72.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.311.311.3684.03%76.05%76.34%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.89%8.41cote équitable
EV +4.53%
Avantage +0.516%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 8.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.91%12.01%11.85%13.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.527.508.7915.38%13.30%13.33%11.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.31%5.78cote équitable
EV -0.452%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.37%17.36%17.26%20.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.175.105.7523.09%19.33%19.61%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.16%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 11.00%EV +4.53%E +0.516%K +0.582%G +0.026%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV -0.625%E -0.109%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-08 12:14
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.75%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.91%EV +4.06%E +0.464%K +0.523%G +0.021%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 12:10
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.452%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:04
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -0.452%E -0.079%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 12:04
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:03
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV +1.08%E +0.128%K +0.145%G +0.002%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:04
Suprabets1.31I 76.34%NM 71.17%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.23%EV -1.29%E -0.156%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 12:05
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.73%EV -3.67%E -0.453%K -0.517%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:24
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 12:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.24%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%EV -3.05%E -0.544%K -0.663%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 12:24
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:25
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 12:04
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.22%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -5.65%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.76%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:24
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:13
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 12:24
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 12:14
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV -7.24%E -0.928%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.53%EV -1.32%E -0.231%K -0.280%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.78%E -0.869%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:04
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -6.51%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 12:18
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 12:20
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -8.43%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:25
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -8.43%E -1.09%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -8.24%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 12:25
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -9.97%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.31%EV -3.72%E -2.73%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -9.97%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 11:29
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:05
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:24
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:04
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 12:05
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.51%E -9.20%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -25.04%E -5.78%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 12:14
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.05%EV -9.38%E -7.33%K -33.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.37%EV -13.78%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-08 12:25
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 69.96%EV -12.21%E -9.85%K -50.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.97%EV -13.78%E -1.90%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.07%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-08 12:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.12%EV -11.51%E -9.20%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.35%EV -15.57%E -2.19%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.53%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-08 12:24
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.11%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:15
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:29
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:30
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.61%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:30
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.44%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 12:24
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -5.13%E -3.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.53%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -3.05%E -0.544%K -0.663%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 12:25
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 12:04
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -16.90%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-08 12:14
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 70.26%EV -15.75%E -13.24%K -82.92%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.94%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.79%EV -18.63%E -3.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-08 12:15
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -19.73%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -15.17%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -19.73%E -2.92%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -15.17%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.23%EV -10.09%E -7.95%K -37.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -22.70%E -3.49%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -11.70%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 12:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-03-08 12:14
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-03-08 12:24
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.34%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.69%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%1.6%2026-03-08 12:19
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.17%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.57%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.26%4.1%2026-03-08 12:20