Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 v Elversberg

Início: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Previsão 41.83%2.39odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.905%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.39%41.94%41.79%43.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.192.202.3449.50%45.70%45.45%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elversberg (Visitante)

Previsão 31.82%3.14odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.439%
Kelly -0.648%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.32%31.82%31.81%33.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.30%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.35%3.79odd justa
EV -1.18%
Vantagem -0.316%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.24%26.40%27.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.503.523.7532.26%28.56%28.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hannover 96 (Local): 41.83%; Elversberg (Visitante): 31.82%; Empate: 26.35%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.18%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:15
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -8.04%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -7.24%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:21
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.18%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:18
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:19
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:54
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.30%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:19
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 11:15
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.95%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.93%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.32%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.31%E -5.91%K -8.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 10:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -13.41%E -6.48%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -15.50%E -7.68%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-04-05 10:20