L’École des cotes

Hannover 96 v Elversberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 41.83%2.39cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.905%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%41.94%41.79%43.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.192.202.3449.50%45.70%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elversberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.439%
Kelly -0.648%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.32%31.82%31.81%33.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.30%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.35%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.24%26.40%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.523.7532.26%28.56%28.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:15
Suprabets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -8.04%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -7.24%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:21
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.18%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:18
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:18
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:19
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.30%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 09:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:35
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 11:15
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:25
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.95%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.93%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:08
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.32%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.31%E -5.91%K -8.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 10:29
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -13.41%E -6.48%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:24
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:25
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -15.50%E -7.68%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-04-05 10:20