La escuela de los momios

Hannover 96 v Elversberg

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 41.83%2.39momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.905%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%41.94%41.79%43.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.192.202.3449.50%45.70%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elversberg (Visitante)

Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.439%
Kelly -0.648%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.32%31.82%31.81%33.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.30%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.35%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.316%
Kelly -0.431%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.24%26.40%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.523.7532.26%28.56%28.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.52%EV -2.12%E -0.905%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.37%E -1.46%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.71%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -3.56%E -0.971%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 11:15
Suprabets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.15%EV -5.05%E -2.22%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -8.04%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.53%EV -7.24%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:21
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.18%E -0.316%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 10:18
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:18
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 10:19
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:54
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.50%E -0.676%K -0.927%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 11:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -8.68%E -3.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.88%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -6.30%E -2.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.72%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.76%EV -7.14%E -3.22%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 09:55
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:35
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 18:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 10:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 10:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:20
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -7.97%E -3.62%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -9.65%E -4.47%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:44
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 10:19
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.68%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 11:15
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -10.48%E -4.90%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -2.95%E -0.968%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:25
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -11.32%E -5.34%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.95%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.93%E -3.23%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:08
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 10:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.16%E -5.79%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.32%E -6.20%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.31%E -5.91%K -8.72%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-05 10:29
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.85%EV -13.41%E -6.48%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:24
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.25%E -6.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 11:25
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -15.50%E -7.68%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:15
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-04-05 11:10
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%1.8%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.0%2026-04-05 10:20