A Escola das Odds

Greuther Fürth v SV Darmstadt 98

Início: 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Greuther Fürth 3–2 SV Darmstadt 98

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Previsão 29.36%3.41odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%29.40%29.34%30.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.113.103.3234.72%32.14%32.26%30.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante)

Previsão 46.10%2.17odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.07%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.87%46.07%46.12%47.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.50%49.50%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.53%4.08odd justa
EV +0.593%
Vantagem +0.145%
Kelly +0.191%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.61%24.53%24.54%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.693.704.1032.26%27.07%27.03%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -2.52%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.23%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +0.593%E +0.145%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-19 11:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -6.41%E -3.16%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:19
Suprabets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.08%EV -5.75%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.92%EV -8.25%E -4.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.00%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:33
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.02%E -2.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 10:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:39
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:20
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:25
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:25
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 10:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:24
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.02%E -5.71%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -11.33%E -3.75%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.00%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 11:24
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.70%EV -11.48%E -5.98%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:25
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -4.56%E -2.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.81%EV -12.40%E -6.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.44%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -15.44%E -5.36%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -23.94%E -7.72%K -11.40%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%-0.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-19 11:25