مدرسة الاحتمالات

Greuther Fürth v SV Darmstadt 98

البداية: 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Greuther Fürth 3–2 SV Darmstadt 98

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Greuther Fürth (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.36%3.41السعر العادل
EV -2.52%
الأفضلية -0.760%
Kelly -1.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.42%29.40%29.34%30.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.113.103.3234.72%32.14%32.26%30.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SV Darmstadt 98 (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.10%2.17السعر العادل
EV -2.26%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -2.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.87%46.07%46.12%47.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.50%49.50%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.53%4.08السعر العادل
EV +0.593%
الأفضلية +0.145%
Kelly +0.191%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.61%24.53%24.54%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.693.704.1032.26%27.07%27.03%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -2.52%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.23%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +0.593%E +0.145%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-19 11:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -6.41%E -3.16%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:19
Suprabets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.08%EV -5.75%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.92%EV -8.25%E -4.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.00%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:33
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.02%E -2.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 10:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:39
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:20
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:25
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:25
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 10:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:24
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.02%E -5.71%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -11.33%E -3.75%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.00%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 11:24
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.70%EV -11.48%E -5.98%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:25
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -4.56%E -2.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.81%EV -12.40%E -6.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.44%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -15.44%E -5.36%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -23.94%E -7.72%K -11.40%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-19 11:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%-0.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-19 11:25