L’École des cotes

Greuther Fürth v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 11:30 UTC

Score final : Greuther Fürth 3–2 SV Darmstadt 98

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 29.36%3.41cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.760%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%29.40%29.34%30.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.3234.72%32.14%32.26%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.10%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.87%46.07%46.12%47.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.50%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV +0.593%
Avantage +0.145%
Kelly +0.191%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%24.53%24.54%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.693.704.1032.26%27.07%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -2.52%E -0.760%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.23%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +0.593%E +0.145%K +0.191%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-19 11:15
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.11%EV -6.41%E -3.16%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.91%EV -1.86%E -0.465%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 11:15
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:19
Suprabets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.08%EV -5.75%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.92%EV -8.25%E -4.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.00%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:33
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -5.95%E -2.91%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 11:25
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -5.02%E -2.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 10:30
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.11%E -0.943%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 10:30
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.58%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 10:39
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -4.87%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:20
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:20
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 11:25
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 10:25
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:25
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.05%E -1.89%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 10:35
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -2.26%E -1.07%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:00
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:24
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -7.51%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -6.87%E -3.40%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -3.18%E -1.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.10%E -1.97%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -11.02%E -5.71%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.55%EV -11.33%E -3.75%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.00%EV -10.56%E -5.44%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 11:24
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.26%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.70%EV -11.48%E -5.98%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:25
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.43%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -4.56%E -2.20%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:00
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.49%E -2.68%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.92%E -3.97%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 11:20
NetBet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.81%EV -12.40%E -6.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-19 11:25
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.98%E -2.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -10.10%E -5.18%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 10:30
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.14%EV -13.39%E -4.54%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.46%EV -7.79%E -3.90%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 11:00
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.19%EV -14.85%E -5.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.44%EV -9.17%E -4.66%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -15.35%E -4.45%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -15.44%E -5.36%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -11.94%E -6.25%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -23.94%E -7.72%K -11.40%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-19 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%-0.1%2026-04-19 11:25
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-04-19 11:25
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-04-19 11:25