La scuola delle quote

Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn

Inizio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Casa)

Previsione 23.00%4.35quota equa
EV +0.035%
Vantaggio +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.06%22.93%23.04%23.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.004.004.3527.03%25.00%25.00%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Paderborn (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.77%1.90quota equa
EV -3.44%
Vantaggio -1.88%
Kelly -4.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.68%52.85%52.69%54.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.27%57.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.24%4.13quota equa
EV -3.06%
Vantaggio -0.764%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.58%24.22%24.26%25.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.793.824.0029.41%26.41%26.18%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -3.30%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:15
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:00
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:44
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:24
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.77%E -5.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:23
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.56%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.78%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:25
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:44
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:24
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:54
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -7.42%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:06
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 07:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:54
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:44
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 09:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:24
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:54
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:25
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -10.82%E -6.40%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -10.77%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.52%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:08
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.41%E -7.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 10:44
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.61%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -12.93%E -7.84%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.76%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -14.52%E -8.96%K -23.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -17.60%E -5.18%K -7.33%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:24
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:29
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 10:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-05 10:45