L’École des cotes

Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 23.00%4.35cote équitable
EV +0.035%
Avantage +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.06%22.93%23.04%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.004.004.3527.03%25.00%25.00%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.77%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -4.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.68%52.85%52.69%54.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.27%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -0.764%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%24.22%24.26%25.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.793.824.0029.41%26.41%26.18%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -3.30%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:15
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:00
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:44
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:24
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.77%E -5.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:23
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.56%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.78%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:25
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:44
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:24
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:54
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -7.42%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:06
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 07:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:54
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:44
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 09:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:24
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:54
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:25
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -10.82%E -6.40%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -10.77%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.52%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:08
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.41%E -7.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 10:44
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.61%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -12.93%E -7.84%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.76%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -14.52%E -8.96%K -23.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -17.60%E -5.18%K -7.33%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:24
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:29
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-05 10:45