La escuela de los momios

Greuther Fürth v SC Paderborn

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Predicción 23.00%4.35momio equitativo
EV +0.035%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.011%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.06%22.93%23.04%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.004.004.3527.03%25.00%25.00%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Paderborn (Visitante)

Predicción 52.77%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.44%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -4.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.68%52.85%52.69%54.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.27%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.24%4.13momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.58%24.22%24.26%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.793.824.0029.41%26.41%26.18%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25%EV +0.035%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.48%EV -4.49%E -2.48%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -3.30%E -0.827%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 11:15
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:00
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -1.11%E -0.259%K -0.338%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:44
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:24
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:25
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.41%E -0.813%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.77%E -5.71%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:23
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.51%EV -4.56%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.78%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:25
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:44
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:24
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:54
Suprabets4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -7.42%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:06
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.15%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -6.86%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:25
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.44%E -1.88%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 07:24
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.07%E -3.41%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:54
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:44
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 10:45
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 09:20
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:24
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.60%E -3.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:10
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:55
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:54
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:50
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.18%E -4.70%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:25
Unibet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.91%EV -10.82%E -6.40%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -10.31%E -2.64%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betclic (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -10.77%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.52%EV -10.30%E -6.06%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 11:08
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-05 10:44
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -11.46%E -2.98%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.02%EV -12.41%E -7.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 10:44
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -12.61%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 52.66%EV -12.93%E -7.84%K -19.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -13.96%E -3.93%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.76%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 52.40%EV -14.52%E -8.96%K -23.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.97%EV -17.60%E -5.18%K -7.33%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:24
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -7.66%E -4.38%K -10.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-05 07:29
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.91%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -11.35%E -6.76%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.54%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 10:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.47%2.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-04-05 10:45