L’École des cotes

Greuther Fürth v FC Schalke 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 20.51%4.88cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.640%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.56%20.52%21.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.434.385.0025.00%22.56%22.86%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.17%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.07%55.12%55.19%56.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.681.691.7665.79%59.39%59.00%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.32%4.11cote équitable
EV -0.287%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.32%24.30%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.753.754.1030.77%26.70%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +2.56%E +0.512%K +0.640%G +0.016%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 10:40
Pinnacle4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.13%E -0.234%K -0.296%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.88%EV -1.75%E -0.432%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 19:04
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.72%E -0.680%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 19:14
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:53
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.287%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 19:14
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.287%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 19:15
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 19:00
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 19:10
1xBet4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV -4.41%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -3.21%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 19:19
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.59%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 19:24
DraftKings4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 19:19
Suprabets4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.58%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 19:02
Everygame4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:04
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 19:04
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 19:14
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:17
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 19:14
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:49
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:50
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:49
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 18:54
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:14
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 19:14
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 07:29
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:10
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 19:14
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.44%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.97%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 18:55
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.44%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.97%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.88%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 19:09
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:10
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:09
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:10
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:09
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:09
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:10
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 19:09
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:14
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 19:09
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:09
Betclic (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.96%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.64%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 19:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -20.96%E -6.45%K -9.32%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 19:10
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 19:09
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.63%EV -12.84%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-28 19:19
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.15%E -10.62%K -31.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -18.53%E -5.53%K -7.88%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 18:54
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.95%E -4.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 19:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-02-28 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-02-28 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-02-28 19:20
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-02-28 19:14
Smarkets4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-02-28 19:15