La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Greuther Fürth v FC Schalke 04
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Greuther Fürth (Local)
Predicción 20.51%4.88momio equitativo
EV +2.56%
Ventaja +0.512%
Kelly +0.640%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%20.56%20.52%21.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.434.385.0025.00%22.56%22.86%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Schalke 04 (Visitante)
Predicción 55.17%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.07%55.12%55.19%56.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.681.691.7665.79%59.39%59.00%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.32%4.11momio equitativo
EV -0.287%
Ventaja -0.070%
Kelly -0.093%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.32%24.30%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.753.754.1030.77%26.70%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +2.56%E +0.512%K +0.640%G +0.016% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.02%EV -1.13%E -0.234%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.88%EV -1.75%E -0.432%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Fanatics | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -2.72%E -0.680%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.57%E -0.540%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 18:53 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.287%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -0.287%E -0.070%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -3.59%E -0.764%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.01%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| 1xBet | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.36%EV -4.41%E -0.947%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.81%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -3.21%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.09%EV -4.62%E -0.993%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.59%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.32%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Suprabets | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.58%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.13%EV -5.88%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 19:02 |
| Everygame | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| Bet Victor | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 19:04 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.64%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.63%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.37%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:17 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.69%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.97%E -5.44%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Betsson | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -8.72%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.66%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.75%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -5.66%E -3.31%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 07:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.36%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -10.77%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.39%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Betway | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.58%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.44%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.97%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.44%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.97%EV -11.18%E -6.94%K -18.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.45%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.18%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.88%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Unibet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Casumo | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Grosvenor | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| TABtouch | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| betPARX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -11.80%E -2.74%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.01%E -2.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| LeoVegas | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.34%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.96%EV -12.82%E -3.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.64%EV -10.08%E -6.18%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.85%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.07%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.46%EV -20.96%E -6.45%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.26%EV -7.87%E -4.71%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-28 19:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.63%EV -12.84%E -8.12%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -13.66%E -3.85%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.32%EV -15.90%E -3.88%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 54.81%EV -16.15%E -10.62%K -31.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 24.87%EV -18.53%E -5.53%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -17.95%E -4.49%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.09%EV -10.63%E -6.56%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 19:14 |
| Smarkets | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 19:15 |