A Escola das Odds

Greuther Fürth v Elversberg

Início: 2026-03-13 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Previsão 21.33%4.69odd justa
EV +0.912%
Vantagem +0.193%
Kelly +0.244%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.43%21.29%21.32%22.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.294.254.7326.67%23.31%23.53%21.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elversberg (Visitante)

Previsão 55.20%1.81odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -2.27%
Kelly -5.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.29%55.23%55.20%56.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.681.691.7465.79%59.56%59.17%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.47%4.26odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.342%
Kelly -0.448%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.71%23.48%23.48%26.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.893.954.2030.30%25.68%25.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.912%E +0.193%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.18%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV -3.08%E -0.745%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +0.272%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +0.272%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.86%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:15
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.95%EV -3.35%E -0.741%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.55%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 17:25
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -1.44%E -0.342%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 17:24
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 17:25
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 17:20
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 17:13
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 17:10
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -5.06%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -6.60%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 17:25
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 15:15
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:23
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 17:24
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:25
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:25
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:24
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:20
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:25
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.20%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 17:35
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -7.62%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:10
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.62%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 17:20
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:29
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:45
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 05:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 17:24
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:46
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:46
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 13:35
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 01:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 01:09
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 17:25
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.52%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -22.56%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-13 17:20
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 01:14
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 17:10
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.60%E -3.36%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -12.24%E -7.70%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:15
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:20
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:20
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.71%EV -12.79%E -8.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.68%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 17:14
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.93%EV -16.10%E -10.59%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -19.04%E -5.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-13 17:25
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -20.00%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.79%EV -11.68%E -7.30%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-11 21:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-03-13 17:25
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-03-13 17:10