L’École des cotes

Greuther Fürth v Elversberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 21.33%4.69cote équitable
EV +0.912%
Avantage +0.193%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.43%21.29%21.32%22.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.294.254.7326.67%23.31%23.53%21.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elversberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.20%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -5.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.29%55.23%55.20%56.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.681.691.7465.79%59.56%59.17%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.47%4.26cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.448%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.71%23.48%23.48%26.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.893.954.2030.30%25.68%25.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.73I 21.14%NM 20.43%EV +0.912%E +0.193%K +0.244%G +0.002%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.18%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.40%EV -3.08%E -0.745%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +0.272%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +0.272%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-13 17:25
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.86%E -0.405%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 17:15
1xBet4.53I 22.08%NM 20.95%EV -3.35%E -0.741%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.50%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.55%EV -5.42%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-13 17:25
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -1.44%E -0.342%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-13 17:24
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 17:25
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 17:20
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 17:13
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.99%E -0.888%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 17:10
Marathon Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -5.06%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -6.60%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 17:25
BetMGM4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.72%E -3.97%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 15:15
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 17:23
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 17:24
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -9.65%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:25
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:25
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:24
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:20
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.13%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 17:25
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.20%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 17:35
Betway4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -7.62%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 17:10
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.62%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-13 17:20
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -3.96%E -2.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -3.78%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 08:29
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:45
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 05:35
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -8.26%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 17:24
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:46
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:46
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:45
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.32%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 13:35
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 01:09
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -7.30%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 01:09
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -6.16%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.33%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 17:25
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.48%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.82%E -4.68%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.52%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -10.40%E -2.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%EV -10.58%E -6.53%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%EV -22.56%E -6.84%K -9.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-13 17:20
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.27%E -4.33%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.13%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 01:14
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.60%EV -9.48%E -5.78%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-13 17:10
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -12.53%E -3.06%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.58%EV -10.03%E -6.15%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-06 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%EV -13.60%E -3.36%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -12.24%E -7.70%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%EV -12.00%E -3.20%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:15
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:20
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.92%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.82%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-12 15:20
NetBet (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.71%EV -12.79%E -8.09%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.68%EV -14.34%E -3.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-13 17:14
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -14.66%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.93%EV -16.10%E -10.59%K -30.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -19.04%E -5.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-13 17:25
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95%EV -20.00%E -5.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 53.79%EV -11.68%E -7.30%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%EV -13.17%E -3.56%K -4.88%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-11 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-03-13 17:25
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-03-13 17:25
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-03-13 17:10