La scuola delle quote

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg

Inizio: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Finale: Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Greuther Fürth (Casa)

Previsione 36.61%2.73quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.426%
Kelly -0.677%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.93%36.68%36.62%37.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.542.542.7042.55%39.33%39.45%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.28%2.68quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.742%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.65%37.21%37.26%38.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.282.452.452.6343.86%40.74%40.82%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.11%3.83quota equa
EV -1.57%
Vantaggio -0.417%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.68%26.12%26.13%28.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.503.503.7733.33%28.59%28.57%26.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -1.15%E -0.426%K -0.677%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -1.15%E -0.426%K -0.677%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:45
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:21
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:16
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:45
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:44
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 08:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 04:04
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 09:40
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -5.54%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -1.95%E -0.742%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.68%EV -1.57%E -0.417%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.40%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 06:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 06:02
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:24
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:01
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:10
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:41
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.74%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 06:05
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.74%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 06:01
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:15
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:05
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -5.31%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:08
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:25
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 08:51
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.57%EV -15.00%E -6.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -8.84%E -3.55%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.40%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 06:01
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.13%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.25%E -6.20%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.68%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-03 10:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.25%E -6.20%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 06:05
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -11.64%E -4.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 11:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.78%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%4.1%2026-05-03 08:45