مدرسة الاحتمالات

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg

البداية: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Greuther Fürth (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.61%2.73السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.426%
Kelly -0.677%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.93%36.68%36.62%37.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.542.542.7042.55%39.33%39.45%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

1. FC Nürnberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.28%2.68السعر العادل
EV -1.95%
الأفضلية -0.742%
Kelly -1.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.65%37.21%37.26%38.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.282.452.452.6343.86%40.74%40.82%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.11%3.83السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.417%
Kelly -0.568%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.68%26.12%26.13%28.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.503.503.7733.33%28.59%28.57%26.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -1.15%E -0.426%K -0.677%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -1.15%E -0.426%K -0.677%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:45
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:41
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -2.98%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -9.41%E -3.87%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 10:45
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:21
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.67%EV -6.05%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:16
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:45
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:44
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 10:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 08:49
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.71%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 04:04
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.81%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 09:40
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -5.54%E -2.15%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -1.95%E -0.742%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.68%EV -1.57%E -0.417%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:10
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.40%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 06:04
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 06:02
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 11:24
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:00
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:01
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:10
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:41
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -6.64%E -2.60%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 10:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.74%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 06:05
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.65%EV -7.74%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 06:01
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 11:15
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:05
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.80%EV -5.31%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:08
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 11:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -7.32%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 11:25
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 08:51
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 06:05
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 09:40
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -8.47%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.57%EV -15.00%E -6.58%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.54%E -3.74%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:45
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -8.84%E -3.55%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -4.93%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:05
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -3.40%E -0.919%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 06:01
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.66%E -3.54%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.30%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -12.13%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.25%E -6.20%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -21.68%E -7.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-03 10:25
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.25%E -6.20%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 06:05
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -11.64%E -4.91%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 11:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.78%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.96%4.1%2026-05-03 08:45