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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Magdeburg

开赛时间： 2026-09-18 16:30 UTC

最终结果： Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Greuther Fürth (主队)

预测 32.36%3.09公平赔率
EV -0.973%
优势 -0.318%
Kelly -0.472%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.06

博彩公司预测分布
31.30%32.35%32.40%34.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.812.803.0638.46%35.60%35.71%32.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 42.71%2.34公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.772%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.63%42.68%42.65%43.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.192.192.3048.78%45.72%45.66%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.93%4.01公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.579%
Kelly -0.777%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.92

博彩公司预测分布
23.77%24.97%24.94%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.673.703.9229.41%27.24%27.03%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Greuther Fürth (主队)：32.36%；1. FC Magdeburg (客队)：42.71%；平局：24.93%。 对于“Greuther Fürth (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.09。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.06，期望值为-0.973%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%EV -0.973%E -0.318%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.63%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -2.27%E -0.579%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 15:25
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -2.91%E -0.971%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:24
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -4.21%E -1.42%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:19
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.47%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.53%E -1.54%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.06%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -8.75%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.48%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.48%EV -4.34%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 10:55
Suprabets🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.18%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.46%EV -9.04%E -4.24%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.95%EV -7.50%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.56%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 07:30
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:25
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.15%E -2.12%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:45
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -6.80%E -2.36%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 15:24
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:30
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 07:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -4.01%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:09
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.75%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 07:25
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 07:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.54%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.59%EV -9.50%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 07:22
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 31.82%EV -10.36%E -3.74%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -1.77%E -0.772%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.77%E -0.709%K -0.954%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.05%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -9.00%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 07:25
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:30
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -8.18%E -3.81%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -15.23%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-18 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.62%E -4.68%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-18 07:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -14.24%E -5.37%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.63%EV -4.76%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.18%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.06%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.71%EV -6.05%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.49%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.07%EV -15.86%E -6.10%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.63%EV -6.90%E -3.17%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-17 16:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-18 15:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-09-18 15:25